Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 90.176127 100.474555 110.934663 122.323738 134.345069 146.628640 160.100818
2025-10-12 75.305829 90.373934 106.280972 124.202483 143.715618 164.212191 187.265558
2025-10-19 64.791324 82.406913 101.557723 123.674583 148.280564 174.607687 204.704912
2025-10-26 56.521675 75.886858 97.510247 123.029415 151.943497 183.352984 219.732863
2025-11-02 50.574586 71.355719 95.123569 123.704855 156.589854 192.761424 235.100885
2025-11-09 44.682593 66.340597 91.716916 122.795501 159.079416 199.455364 247.173798
2025-11-16 40.170584 62.603840 89.486584 122.958115 162.541625 207.033584 260.050055
2025-11-23 35.585202 58.400986 86.392722 121.833347 164.283287 212.465861 270.334743
2025-11-30 32.773848 56.247438 85.626392 123.340281 168.980624 221.188697 284.282076
2025-12-07 30.397861 54.477439 85.191753 125.127572 173.912218 230.108317 298.396658
2025-12-14 27.037948 51.117146 82.544598 124.028982 175.258571 234.743871 307.481132
2025-12-21 23.591966 47.363647 79.182289 121.863769 175.172439 237.582013 314.380379
2025-12-28 22.855505 47.489162 80.931685 126.188174 183.059253 249.931132 332.496604
2026-01-04 21.520842 46.631093 81.305682 128.719188 188.726106 259.642288 347.538143
2026-01-11 19.207437 44.107374 79.295134 128.076725 190.390496 264.514134 356.838370
2026-01-18 17.106110 41.733358 77.363803 127.436046 191.978107 269.234348 365.912301
2026-01-25 15.597930 40.182726 76.494434 128.122100 195.176662 275.860035 377.218636
2026-02-01 13.753311 37.903784 74.477043 127.195012 196.271347 279.886016 385.391343
2026-02-08 12.369508 36.283709 73.323971 127.360807 198.704868 285.506275 395.442432
2026-02-15 10.774037 34.118893 71.263201 126.213443 199.395457 288.948093 402.845191
2026-02-22 9.957715 33.316241 71.188309 127.750646 203.519766 296.594850 415.300560
2026-03-01 9.266616 32.687328 71.338784 129.573633 207.998644 304.671606 428.274266
2026-03-08 8.001320 30.771385 69.422284 128.453129 208.598192 307.913175 435.372639